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2 June 2008

Results for the six months to 30 April 2008

  • Over the 6 months to 30 April 2008, the stock price fell by 6.6%, reflecting a decrease of 9.1% in NAV in weak stockmarkets partially offset by a narrowing of the discount to 8.6%.
  • Since 31 January 2004, the NAV has risen by 55.4% compared with the 40.6% capital return from the All-World Index and 41.7% from the UK All-Share Index.
  • Effective gearing levels increased in January to take advantage of market weakness.
  • The interim dividend has been increased by 3.5% to 4.45p per ordinary stock unit.

The Scottish Investment Trust PLC invests internationally and is independently managed. It is categorised as a global growth trust by the Association of Investment Companies.

Commenting on the results, Chairman, Douglas McDougall said:-

"In the six months to 30 April 2008, the net asset value per ordinary stock unit (NAV) fell by 9.1% (with borrowings at par) having deducted dividends proposed but not yet paid from the NAV at the company's year end, 31 October 2007. Over the period, the company's stock price fell by 6.6%, reflecting the decrease in NAV and a narrowing of the discount to 8.6% (with borrowings at market value).  The company's principal comparator indices – the FTSE All-World Index™ and the UK FTSE All-Share Index™ – both fell, by 5.8% and 10.3% respectively.  Under current accounting standards, the final and special dividends for the previous financial year are deducted from the NAV when the dividends are approved, in this case January 2008. This has had the impact of penalising the NAV performance at the 2008 interim stage by a further 1.0 percentage point to the -10.1% shown in the summary of results.

"Since the introduction of the current investment approach in 2004, the NAV with borrowings at par has performed strongly and since 31 January 2004 has risen by 55.4% compared with the 40.6% capital return from the All-World Index and 41.7% from the UK All-Share Index.

"After another period of double-digit gains in the year to October 2007, the impact of the unfolding credit crisis was felt in this financial year. Global stockmarkets initially fell in November and by a further 8% in January on signs of continued deterioration in the US housing market and fears over the subsequent impact on the US economy. Economic fears were compounded by the persistently high oil price which exceeded $90 by the end of January. Between the end of October and mid-March, global equities had retreated by 15% as US investment bank Bear Stearns fell victim to the credit crisis enveloping the US banking industry. Its merger with JPMorgan Chase, orchestrated by the Federal Reserve (Fed), was followed by an equity market rally of over 15% lasting into mid-May. Economic fears were also assuaged by the aggressive interest rate action of the Fed which cut rates by 2.5 percentage points over the period to stand at just 2.0%. Rates were also cut in the UK, by 0.75%, and there was concerted central bank activity to provide extraordinary amounts of liquidity to the financial system.

"Regional sterling equity market returns were heavily affected by currency movements as sterling weakened materially against both the Euro and the Japanese Yen. All regional returns were negative in local currency terms but in sterling terms, the strongest returns came from Latin America (+7.7%) with the weak local returns of Europe (ex UK) and Japan both transformed by the currency move to leave them down by only 4.0% and 2.4% respectively. Industry sector returns were skewed towards Oil & Gas (+7.3%) and Basic Materials (+4.2%) which were the only ones to generate gains. The other major sector groups were in a fairly narrow range of between 0% and -12% with Financials and Technology returns at the lower end of that range.

"The global equity portfolio depreciated in value by £71.2m over the six months. Net additions to the portfolio amounted to £19.8m primarily due to the employment of an additional £36m of gearing, mainly in late-January 2008, to take advantage of weak stockmarkets. The net investments over the period and stock buybacks of £12.6m were financed from net current assets. Consequently, effective gearing rose from 105% to 111%.

"During the period, we added £51.8m to Latin American holdings across a number of sectors including Oil & Gas and added a further £15.8m to North American holdings, bolstering further the exposure to oil producers and service companies. These additions were financed from net current assets and by reductions to UK and Europe (ex UK) as well as profit-taking in Asia Pacific after a prolonged period of strong returns. Our presence in the Middle East & Africa region was increased by £7.0m as a holding in regional telecoms group MTN (South Africa) was taken.  Viewed in sector terms, we added £17.5m to Oil & Gas and £23.0m to Basic Materials with additions to Mining sector holdings and US seed specialist Monsanto. Reductions were made to Financials (-£23.3m) and Technology (-£12.9m).

"The largest gains were made in Oil & Gas which appreciated by £15.0m with good contributions from a number of holdings and BG (UK) in particular. We also did well in Basic Materials, with strong returns from Monsanto (US) and Rio Tinto (UK), as well as a number of pharmaceutical and healthcare stocks including CSL (Australia), Gilead Sciences (US) and Fresenius Medical Care (Germany). However, despite selling over £74.3m of Financials in the last financial year, our progress over this period was hindered by losses in bank holdings and also in a number of medium sized holdings exposed to personal consumption and UK residential property.

"The number of listed portfolio holdings was reduced from 98 to 85 over the period.

"Earnings per ordinary stock unit increased in comparison to the 2007 interim period by 22.3% from 5.30p to 6.48p owing to strong dividend growth and the effect of our stock buybacks over the last 12 months.

"At the AGM in January, stockholders voted to renew the company's authority to repurchase its own stock for cancellation. These powers are used in the stock buyback scheme which is intended to maintain the company's stock price discount to NAV at 9% or lower (with borrowings taken at market value). Over the first half of the year, the company repurchased for cancellation 2.5m stock units (utilising 0.6 % of the current 14.99% authority) at an average discount of 9.6% and a cost of £12.6m inclusive of dealing expenses. The average daily discount over the first half of the year was 8.7%.

"The board has declared an interim dividend of 4.45p, an increase of 3.5% on 2007, which will be payable on 18 July 2008."

Principal risks and uncertainties

The principal risks and uncertainties facing the business are as follows: investment and market price risk, interest rate risk, liquidity risk and foreign currency risk.

Responsibility statement

The board of directors confirms that to the best of its knowledge:

  • the condensed set of financial statements, which has been prepared in accordance with applicable accounting standards, gives a true and fair view of the assets, liabilities, financial position and net return of the company;
  • the interim report includes a fair review of; important events that have occurred during the first six months of the financial year and their impact on the financial statements; and a description of the principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the financial year; and
  • no transactions with related parties took place during the first six months of the financial year.

For and on behalf of the board

Douglas McDougall
Chairman

30 May 2008

For further information, please contact:- John Kennedy, Manager  0131 225 7781
Colin Browne, The Maitland Consultancy  0773 310 3800

THE SCOTTISH INVESTMENT TRUST PLC SUMMARY OF RESULTS (UNAUDITED)
For the six months to 30 April 2008

CAPITAL

30 April
2008

31 October
2007

Change

NAV with borrowings at par

537.3p

597.6p

-10.1%

NAV with borrowings at market value

540.3p

593.9p

-9.0%

Stock price per ordinary unit

494.0p

529.0p

-6.6%

Discount to NAV with borrowings at market value

8.6 %

9.9%*

 

FTSE All-World Index

   

-5.8%

UK FTSE All-Share Index

   

-10.3%

 

£'000

£'000

 

Total assets less current liabilities

816,184

910,574

-10.4%

Borrowings at par

(107,432)

(107,372)

 

Pension liability

(849)

(849)

 

Equity stockholders' funds

707,903

802,353

-11.8%

* Discount at 31 October 2007 is based on NAV after deducting dividends proposed but not paid

INCOME for the six months to

30 April 2008

30 April 2007

 

 

£'000

£'000

 

Total income

12,423

11,465

 

Earnings per ordinary unit

6.48p

5.30p

 

Interim dividend per ordinary unit

4.45p

4.30p

+3.5%

UK Retail Prices Index (April 2008 year-on-year)

   

+4.2%


DISTRIBUTION of total assets less current liabilities

By Sector

 

30 April
2008
%

31 October
2007
%

Oil & Gas

16.8

11.5

Basic Materials

7.7

4.0

Industrials

14.9

13.4

Consumer Goods

9.1

11.7

Health Care

6.5

4.8

Consumer Services

8.3

9.4

Telecommunications

8.9

8.4

Utilities

3.7

2.2

Financials

16.9

20.7

Technology

3.3

5.6

Net current assets

  3.9

  8.3

 

100.0

100.0

 

By Region

 

30 April
2008
%

31 October
2007
%

UK

28.9

32.1

Europe (ex UK)

16.7

17.7

North America

27.1

22.7

Latin America

7.7

1.0

Japan

3.1

3.1

Asia Pacific (ex Japan)

10.9

14.3

Middle East & Africa

1.7

0.8

Net current assets

  3.9

  8.3

 

100.0

100.0


INCOME STATEMENT (UNAUDITED)
 

Six months to 30 April 2008

Six months to 30 April 2007

Year to 31 October 2007

 

Revenue

Capital

Total

Revenue

Capital

Total

Revenue

Capital

Total

 

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

£'000

Net (losses)/gains on investments and currencies

-

(70,677)

(70,677)

-

65,613

65,613

-

118,591

118,591

Income

12,423

-

12,423

11,465

-

11,465

23,704

-

23,704

Expenses

(1,520)

(1,056)

(2,576)

(1,446)

(1,005)

(2,451)

(2,779)

(1,930)

(4,709)

Net Return before Finance Costs and Taxation

10,903

(71,733)

(60,830)

10,019

64,608

74,627

20,925

116,661

137,586

Interest payable

(1,599)

(1,599)

(3,198)

(1,593)

(1,593)

(3,186)

(3,213)

(3,213)

(6,426)

Return on Ordinary Activities before Tax

9,304

(73,332)

(64,028)

8,426

63,015

71,441

17,712

113,448

131,160

Tax on ordinary activities

(691)

461

(230)

(893)

517

(376)

(2,346)

1,501

(845)

Return attributable to Equity Stockholders

8,613

(72,871)

(64,258)

7,533

63,532

71,065

15,366

114,949

130,315

Return per Ordinary Stock Unit

6.48p

(54.85p)

(48.37p)

5.30p

44.65p

49.95p

11.02p

82.43p

93.45p

Weighted average number of Ordinary Stock Units in issue

132,859,963

 

142,281,248

 

139,446,127

 
 

£'000

   

£'000

   

£'000

   

Dividends paid and proposed

5,863

   

5,974

   

15,104

   

The income figure is made up as follows:-

Dividends

10,944

   

9,110

   

18,670

   

Interest

1,529

   

2,258

   

4,951

   

Other

(50)

   

97

   

83

   
 

12,423

   

11,465

   

23,704

   

SUMMARY BALANCE SHEET (UNAUDITED)
 

30 April
2008
£'000

31 October
2007
£'000

30 April
2007
£'000

Equity investments

784,081

835,357

783,232

Net current assets

32,103

75,217

95,440

Total assets less current liabilities

816,184

910,574

878,672

Long-term borrowings at par

(107,432)

(107,372)

(107,311)

Pension liability

(849)

(849)

(1,795)

Equity stockholders' funds

707,903

802,353

769,566

NAV with borrowings at par

537.3p

597.6p

549.8p


STATEMENT OF TOTAL RECOGNISED GAINS AND LOSSES (UNAUDITED)

Six months to
30 April 2008
£'000

Six months to
30 April 2007
£'000

Year to
31 October 2007
£'000

Total recognised (losses)/gains

(72,871)

63,532

131,358*

Total recognised (losses)/gains per ordinary stock unit

(54.85p)

 44.65p

94.20p

* Includes actuarial gain of £1,043,000


RECONCILIATION OF MOVEMENTS IN STOCKHOLDERS' FUNDS (UNAUDITED)

Six months to
30 April 2008
£'000

Six months to
30 April 2007
£'000

Year to
31 October 2007
£'000

Opening equity stockholders' funds

802,353

730,594

730,594

Total recognised (losses)/gains

(72,871)

63,532

131,358

Ordinary stock repurchases

(12,553)

(15,170)

(44,234)

Dividends on ordinary stock

(9,026)

(9,390)

(15,365)

707,903

769,566

802,353


CASH FLOW STATEMENT (UNAUDITED)

Six months to
30 April 2008
£'000

Six months to
30 April 2007
£'000

Year to
31 October 2007
£'000

Net cash inflow from operating activities

5,910

5,768

17,986

Servicing of finance

(3,155)

(3,153)

(6,305)

Taxation recovered

95

101

170

Purchases of investments

(377,068)

(149,943)

(387,957)

Sales of investments

360,658

168,673

419,530

Equity dividends paid

(9,026)

(9,390)

(15,365)

Decrease in short term deposits

49,000

3,500

18,000

Stock buybacks

(12,928)

(14,981)

(44,365)

Increase in cash

13,486

575

1,694


NOTES:-

The interim accounts have been prepared under accounting policies consistent with those used in the preparation of the annual report and accounts for the year to 31 October 2007.

The figures for 31 October 2007 have been extracted from the annual report and accounts for the year ended on that date which have been filed with the Registrar of Companies and which contain an unqualified report from the auditors.

Based on the number of ordinary stock units in issue at 30 April 2008, the interim dividend would absorb £5,863,000 (2007 - £5,974,000) and is payable on 18 July 2008 to stockholders registered at 13 June 2008. The ordinary stock will be traded ‘ex' the interim dividend from 11 June 2008 and investors purchasing on or after that date will not be entitled to the interim dividend for 2007/8.

Equity stockholders' funds at 30 April 2008/2007 exclude all revenue items for the current financial year.

Equity investments include the unlisted portfolio of £24.5m. Of this £10.5m is in listed funds which invest in unlisted securities.

The weighted average number of ordinary stock units in issue during the half-year was 132,859,963 (2007 – 142,281,248) and this figure has been used to calculate the return per ordinary stock unit shown in the income statement. The net asset value per ordinary stock unit at 30 April 2008 has been calculated using the number of ordinary stock units in issue on that date which was 131,762,115 (31 October 2007 – 134,267,515).



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